Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
http://hdl.handle.net/1893/34095
Appears in Collections: | Biological and Environmental Sciences Journal Articles |
Peer Review Status: | Refereed |
Title: | Climate-change-driven growth decline of European beech forests |
Author(s): | Martinez del Castillo, Edurne Zang, Christian S Buras, Allan Hacket-Pain, Andrew Esper, Jan Serrano-Notivoli, Roberto Hartl, Claudia Weigel, Robert Klesse, Stefan Resco de Dios, Victor Scharnweber, Tobias Dorado-Liñán, Isabel van der Maaten-Theunissen, Marieke Jump, Alistair Cavin, Liam |
Contact Email: | a.s.jump@stir.ac.uk |
Keywords: | Climate-change ecology Drought Forest ecology |
Issue Date: | 2022 |
Date Deposited: | 23-Mar-2022 |
Citation: | Martinez del Castillo E, Zang CS, Buras A, Hacket-Pain A, Esper J, Serrano-Notivoli R, Hartl C, Weigel R, Klesse S, Resco de Dios V, Scharnweber T, Dorado-Liñán I, van der Maaten-Theunissen M, Jump A & Cavin L (2022) Climate-change-driven growth decline of European beech forests. Communications Biology, 5 (1), Art. No.: 163. https://doi.org/10.1038/s42003-022-03107-3 |
Abstract: | The growth of past, present, and future forests was, is and will be affected by climate variability. This multifaceted relationship has been assessed in several regional studies, but spatially resolved, large-scale analyses are largely missing so far. Here we estimate recent changes in growth of 5800 beech trees (Fagus sylvatica L.) from 324 sites, representing the full geographic and climatic range of species. Future growth trends were predicted considering state-of-the-art climate scenarios. The validated models indicate growth declines across large region of the distribution in recent decades, and project severe future growth declines ranging from -20% to more than -50% by 2090, depending on the region and climate change scenario (i.e. CMIP6 SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5). Forecasted forest productivity losses are most striking towards the southern distribution limit of Fagus sylvatica, in regions where persisting atmospheric high-pressure systems are expected to increase drought severity. The projected 21st century growth changes across Europe indicate serious ecological and economic consequences that require immediate forest adaptation. |
DOI Link: | 10.1038/s42003-022-03107-3 |
Rights: | This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. |
Notes: | Additional co-authors: Ernst van der Maaten, Sjepan Mikac, Bat-Enerel Banzragch, Wolfgang Beck, Hugues Claessens, Vojtěch Čada, Katarina Čufar, Choimaa Dulamsuren, Jozica Gričar, Eustaquio Gil-Pelegrín, Pavel Janda, Marko Kazimirovic, Juergen Kreyling, Nicolas Latte, Christoph Leuschner, Luis Alberto Longares, Annette Menzel, Maks Merela, Renzo Motta, Lena Muffler, Paola Nola, Any Mary Petritan, Ion Catalin Petritan, Peter Prislan, Álvaro Rubio-Cuadrado, Miloš Rydval, Branko Stajić, Miroslav Svoboda, Elvin Toromani, Volodymyr Trotsiuk, Martin Wilmking, Tzvetan Zlatanov & Martin de Luis |
Licence URL(s): | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
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File | Description | Size | Format | |
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s42003-022-03107-3.pdf | Fulltext - Published Version | 5.94 MB | Adobe PDF | View/Open |
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