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Appears in Collections:Biological and Environmental Sciences Journal Articles
Peer Review Status: Refereed
Title: Modelling lake cyanobacterial blooms: Disentangling the climate-driven impacts of changing mixed depth and water temperature
Author(s): Gray, Emma
Elliott, James A
Mackay, Eleanor B
Folkard, Andrew M
Keenan, Patrick O
Jones, Ian D
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Keywords: climate change
Issue Date: Dec-2019
Citation: Gray E, Elliott JA, Mackay EB, Folkard AM, Keenan PO & Jones ID (2019) Modelling lake cyanobacterial blooms: Disentangling the climate-driven impacts of changing mixed depth and water temperature. Freshwater Biology, 64 (12), pp. 2141-2155.
Abstract: 1. Climate change is already having profound impacts upon the state and dynamics of lake ecosystems globally. A specific concern is that climate change will continue to promote the growth of phytoplankton, particularly blooms of toxic cyanobacteria, via lake physical processes including warming surface waters and shallowing of the mixed layer. These two mechanisms will have different impacts on lake phytoplankton communities, but their inter‐connectedness has made it difficult to disentangle their independent effects. 2. We fill this knowledge gap by performing 1666 numerical modelling experiments with the phytoplankton community model, PROTECH, in which we separated the independent effects on lake phytoplankton of temperature change and changes in the depth of the surface mixed layer. Given the large global abundance of small lakes (
DOI Link: 10.1111/fwb.13402
Rights: This item has been embargoed for a period. During the embargo please use the Request a Copy feature at the foot of the Repository record to request a copy directly from the author. You can only request a copy if you wish to use this work for your own research or private study. This is the peer reviewed version of the following article: Gray, E, Elliott, JA, Mackay, EB, Folkard, AM, Keenan, PO, Jones, ID. Modelling lake cyanobacterial blooms: Disentangling the climate driven impacts of changing mixed depth and water temperature. Freshw Biol. 2019; 64: 2141– 2155, which has been published in final form at This article may be used for non-commercial purposes in accordance with Wiley Terms and Conditions for selfarchiving.
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