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Appears in Collections:Economics Working Papers
Peer Review Status: Unrefereed
Title: Likely Impacts of Future Agricultural Change on Upland Farming and Biodiversity
Author(s): Hanley, Nicholas
Acs, Szvetlana
Dallimer, Martin
Gaston, Kevin J
Graves, Anil
Morris, Joe
Armsworth, Paul R
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Citation: Hanley N, Acs S, Dallimer M, Gaston KJ, Graves A, Morris J & Armsworth PR (2010) Likely Impacts of Future Agricultural Change on Upland Farming and Biodiversity. Stirling Economics Discussion Paper, 2010-14.
Keywords: policy scenarios
ecological-economic models
farm models
agri-environmental policy
Agricultural ecology Economic aspects
Agricultural innovations
Environmental policy Great Britain
Issue Date: 1-Nov-2010
Date Deposited: 10-Feb-2011
Series/Report no.: Stirling Economics Discussion Paper, 2010-14
Abstract: Recent decades have witnessed substantial losses of biodiversity in Europe, partly driven by the ecological changes associated with intensification of agricultural production. These changes have particularly affected avian (bird) diversity in marginal areas such as the uplands of the UK. We developed integrated ecological-economic models, using eight different indicators of biodiversity based on avian species richness and individual bird densities. The models represent six different types of farms which are typical for the UK uplands, and were used to assess the outcomes of different agricultural futures. Our results show that the impacts of these future agricultural scenarios on farm incomes, land use and biodiversity are very diverse across policy scenarios and farm types. Moreover, each policy scenario produces un-equal distributions of farm income changes, and gains and losses in alternative biodiversity indicators. This shows that generalisations of the effects of land use change on biodiversity can be misleading. Our results also suggest that a focus on umbrella species or indicators (such as total richness) can miss important compositional effects.
Type: Working Paper
Affiliation: Economics
University of Sheffield
University of Sheffield
Cranfield University
Cranfield University
University of Sheffield

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