Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/1893/8795
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dc.contributor.authorEvans, Josieen_UK
dc.contributor.authorBarnett, Karen Nen_UK
dc.contributor.authorOgston, Simon Aen_UK
dc.contributor.authorMorris, Andrew Den_UK
dc.date.accessioned2014-09-12T13:24:00Z-
dc.date.available2014-09-12T13:24:00Zen_UK
dc.date.issued2007-04en_UK
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/1893/8795-
dc.description.abstractAims/hypothesis: We examined incidence, prevalence and mortality from type 2 diabetes mellitus in a Scottish population over 12 years, and evaluated the effects on prevalence of increasing incidence and decreasing mortality. Materials and methods: We used a diabetes clinical information system in Tayside (population 387,908), Scotland, to identify new cases of type 2 diabetes between 1993 and 2004 and to calculate incidence rates and mid-year prevalence. We defined mortality rates as the number of deaths of diabetic people divided by mid-year prevalence. We used logistic and Poisson regression to analyse trends. We then modelled the increase in prevalence for each year for three scenarios, based on whether mortality or incidence rates remained unchanged from 1993. Results: There was a doubling in incidence and prevalence of type 2 diabetes in Tayside over the 12 years, with statistically significant increasing trends of 6.3 and 6.7% per year respectively. The mortality rate decreased. If incidence and mortality had remained at 1993 levels, there would have been an increase in prevalence of 855 per 100,000 in 2003, accounting for 60.1% of the actual increase of 1,423 per 100,000. If there had been no mortality decrease, prevalence in 2003 would have been very similar to the actual prevalence observed. Conclusions/interpretation: Decreasing mortality rates in Tayside had less effect on the increase in prevalence than did increasing incidence. Even if incidence and mortality remain unchanged, prevalence will increase by over 20% in the next decade.en_UK
dc.language.isoenen_UK
dc.publisherSpringer Verlagen_UK
dc.relationEvans J, Barnett KN, Ogston SA & Morris AD (2007) Increasing prevalence of type 2 diabetes in a Scottish population: effect of increasing incidence or decreasing mortality?. Diabetologia, 50 (4), pp. 729-732. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00125-006-0585-9en_UK
dc.rightsThe publisher does not allow this work to be made publicly available in this Repository. Please use the Request a Copy feature at the foot of the Repository record to request a copy directly from the author. You can only request a copy if you wish to use this work for your own research or private study.en_UK
dc.subjectDiabetes mellitusen_UK
dc.subjectIncidenceen_UK
dc.subjectPrevalenceen_UK
dc.subjectType 2 diabetesen_UK
dc.titleIncreasing prevalence of type 2 diabetes in a Scottish population: effect of increasing incidence or decreasing mortality?en_UK
dc.typeJournal Articleen_UK
dc.rights.embargodate2999-12-17en_UK
dc.rights.embargoreason[Evans_2007_Increasing_prevalence_of_type_2_diabetes.pdf] The publisher does not allow this work to be made publicly available in this Repository therefore there is an embargo on the full text of the work.en_UK
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s00125-006-0585-9en_UK
dc.citation.jtitleDiabetologiaen_UK
dc.citation.issn1432-0428en_UK
dc.citation.issn0012-186Xen_UK
dc.citation.volume50en_UK
dc.citation.issue4en_UK
dc.citation.spage729en_UK
dc.citation.epage732en_UK
dc.citation.publicationstatusPublisheden_UK
dc.citation.peerreviewedRefereeden_UK
dc.type.statusVoR - Version of Recorden_UK
dc.author.emailjosie.evans@stir.ac.uken_UK
dc.citation.date16/01/2007en_UK
dc.contributor.affiliationHealth Sciences Research - Stirling - LEGACYen_UK
dc.contributor.affiliationUniversity of Dundeeen_UK
dc.contributor.affiliationUniversity of Dundeeen_UK
dc.contributor.affiliationUniversity of Dundeeen_UK
dc.identifier.isiWOS:000244687700005en_UK
dc.identifier.wtid781419en_UK
dc.contributor.orcid0000-0001-6672-7876en_UK
dc.date.filedepositdate2012-09-03en_UK
Appears in Collections:Faculty of Health Sciences and Sport Journal Articles

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