|Appears in Collections:||Law and Philosophy Journal Articles|
|Peer Review Status:||Refereed|
|Title:||Bayesian reasoning in avalanche terrain: a theoretical investigation|
|Citation:||Ebert P (2019) Bayesian reasoning in avalanche terrain: a theoretical investigation. Journal of Adventure Education and Outdoor Learning, 19 (1), pp. 84-95. https://doi.org/10.1080/14729679.2018.1508356|
|Abstract:||In this article, I explore a Bayesian approach to avalanche decision-making. I mo- tivate this perspective by highlighting a version of the base-rate fallacy and show that a similar pattern applies to decision-making in avalanche-terrain. I then draw out three theoretical lessons from adopting a Bayesian approach and discuss these lessons critically. Lastly, I highlight a number of challenges for avalanche educators when incorporating the Bayesian perspective in their curriculum.|
|Rights:||© 2018 Institute for Outdoor Learning This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, and is not altered, transformed, or built upon in any way.|
|Bayesian reasoning in avalanche terrain a theoretical investigation.pdf||Fulltext - Published Version||1.28 MB||Adobe PDF||View/Open|
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