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Appears in Collections:Law and Philosophy Journal Articles
Peer Review Status: Refereed
Title: Lottery judgments: A philosophical and experimental study
Author(s): Ebert, Philip A
Smith, Martin
Durbach, Ian
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Keywords: Knowledge
justified belief
lottery proposition
statistical evidence
testimonial evidence
behavioral decision-making
Issue Date: 31-Dec-2018
Citation: Ebert PA, Smith M & Durbach I (2018) Lottery judgments: A philosophical and experimental study, Philosophical Psychology, 31 (1), pp. 110-138.
Abstract: In this paper, we present the results of two surveys that investigate subjects’ judgments about what can be known or justifiably believed about lottery out- comes on the basis of statistical evidence, testimonial evidence, and ‘mixed’ evidence, while considering possible anchoring and priming effects. We dis- cuss these results in light of seven distinct hypotheses that capture various claims made by philosophers about lay people’s lottery judgments. We con- clude by summarizing the main findings, pointing to future research, and comparing our findings to recent studies by Turri and Friedman (2014) and Friedman and Turri (2015).
DOI Link: 10.1080/09515089.2017.1367767
Rights: © 2017 The Author(s). Published by Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

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