Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/1893/3680
Appears in Collections:Computing Science and Mathematics Conference Papers and Proceedings
Peer Review Status: Refereed
Authors: Kleczkowski, Adam
Maharaj, Savi
Contact Email: ak@maths.stir.ac.uk
Title: Stay at Home, Wash Your Hands: Epidemic Dynamics with Awareness of Infection
Citation: Kleczkowski A & Maharaj S (2010) Stay at Home, Wash Your Hands: Epidemic Dynamics with Awareness of Infection In: SummerSim '10 2010 Summer Simulation Multiconference, San Diego: Society for Computer Simulation International. Summer Simulation Multiconference, 1.7.2010, Ottawa, Canada, pp. 141-146.
Issue Date: 2010
Conference Name: Summer Simulation Multiconference
Conference Dates: 2010-07-01T00:00:00Z
Conference Location: Ottawa, Canada
Abstract: This paper describes work in progress studying a cellular automata model of epidemic dynamics on a spatial network. We assume that susceptible individuals become aware of the presence of infection within their local neighbourhood, and change their behavior so as to reduce the risk of becoming infected. Two controls are considered: reducing the number of contacts ("staying at home"), and reducing the likelihood that contact results in infection ("washing hands"). We consider how effective these controls are at reducing the final size of the epidemic and give some preliminary results obtained by running simulations on a spatial lattice. One result is that "washing hands" appears more effective for short-lived diseases while "staying at home" is better for diseases with a longer infectious period. Another result is that control seems to be most effective when the awareness neighbourhood is roughly the same size or larger than the contact neighbourhood. We also give a non-spatial mean field approximation and compare results from both models.
Type: Conference Paper
Status: Author version
Rights: The publisher has not yet responded to our queries therefore this work cannot be made publicly available in this Repository. Please use the Request a Copy feature at the foot of the Repository record to request a copy directly from the author; you can only request a copy if you wish to use this work for your own research or private study.
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/1893/3680
URL: http://dl.acm.org/citation.cfm?id=1999432
Affiliation: Mathematics - CSM Dept
Computing Science - CSM Dept

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