Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/1893/26506
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dc.contributor.authorMacpherson, Moragen_UK
dc.contributor.authorDavidson, Ross Sen_UK
dc.contributor.authorDuncan, Dugald Ben_UK
dc.contributor.authorLurz, Peter Wen_UK
dc.contributor.authorJarrott, Andrewen_UK
dc.contributor.authorWhite, Andrewen_UK
dc.date.accessioned2018-01-16T02:26:46Z-
dc.date.available2018-01-16T02:26:46Z-
dc.date.issued2016-02en_UK
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/1893/26506-
dc.description.abstractEmerging infectious diseases are a substantial threat to native populations. The spread of disease through naive native populations will depend on both demographic and disease parameters, as well as on habitat suitability and connectivity. Using the potential spread of squirrelpox virus (SQPV) on the Isle of Arran as a case study, we develop mathematical models to examine the impact of an emerging disease on a population in a complex landscape of different habitat types. Furthermore, by considering a range of disease parameters, we infer more generally how complex landscapes interact with disease characteristics to determine the spread and persistence of disease. Specific findings indicate that a SQPV outbreak on Arran is likely to be short lived and localized to the point of introduction allowing recovery of red squirrels to pre-infection densities; this has important consequences for the conservation of red squirrels. More generally, we find that the extent of disease spread is dependent on the rare passage of infection through poor quality corridors connecting good quality habitats. Acute, highly transmissible infectious diseases are predicted to spread rapidly causing high mortality. Nonetheless, the disease typically fades out following local epidemics and is not supported in the long term. A chronic infectious disease is predicted to spread more slowly but can remain endemic in the population. This allows the disease to spread more extensively in the long term as it increases the chance of spread between poorly connected populations. Our results highlight how a detailed understanding of landscape connectivity is crucial when considering conservation strategies to protect native species from disease threats.en_UK
dc.language.isoenen_UK
dc.publisherWiley-Blackwell for the Zoological Society of Londonen_UK
dc.relationMacpherson M, Davidson RS, Duncan DB, Lurz PW, Jarrott A & White A (2016) Incorporating habitat distribution in wildlife disease models: conservation implications for the threat of squirrelpox on the Isle of Arran. Animal Conservation, 19 (1), pp. 3-14. https://doi.org/10.1111/acv.12219en_UK
dc.rightsThis is the peer reviewed version of the following article: Macpherson, M. F., Davidson, R. S., Duncan, D. B., Lurz, P. W., Jarrott, A. and White, A. (2016), Incorporating habitat distribution in wildlife disease models: conservation implications for the threat of squirrelpox on the Isle of Arran. Animal Conservation, 19: 3–14, which has been published in final form at https://doi.org/10.1111/acv.12219. This article may be used for non-commercial purposes in accordance With Wiley Terms and Conditions for self-archiving.en_UK
dc.subjectemerging infectious diseaseen_UK
dc.subjectdisease spreaden_UK
dc.subjectsquirrelpoxen_UK
dc.subjectspatial disease modelen_UK
dc.subjectcomplex landscapesen_UK
dc.titleIncorporating habitat distribution in wildlife disease models: conservation implications for the threat of squirrelpox on the Isle of Arranen_UK
dc.typeJournal Articleen_UK
dc.identifier.doi10.1111/acv.12219en_UK
dc.citation.jtitleAnimal Conservationen_UK
dc.citation.issn1469-1795en_UK
dc.citation.issn1367-9430en_UK
dc.citation.volume19en_UK
dc.citation.issue1en_UK
dc.citation.spage3en_UK
dc.citation.epage14en_UK
dc.citation.publicationstatusPublisheden_UK
dc.citation.peerreviewedRefereeden_UK
dc.type.statusAM - Accepted Manuscripten_UK
dc.citation.date23/07/2015en_UK
dc.contributor.affiliationMathematicsen_UK
dc.contributor.affiliationScotland's Rural College (SRUC)en_UK
dc.contributor.affiliationHeriot-Watt Universityen_UK
dc.contributor.affiliationUniversity of Edinburghen_UK
dc.contributor.affiliationForestry Commission Scotlanden_UK
dc.contributor.affiliationHeriot-Watt Universityen_UK
dc.identifier.isiWOS:000369174200002en_UK
dc.identifier.scopusid2-s2.0-84956610668en_UK
dc.identifier.wtid506092en_UK
dc.contributor.orcid0000-0002-0467-8105en_UK
dc.date.accepted2015-06-10en_UK
dcterms.dateAccepted2015-06-10en_UK
dc.date.filedepositdate2018-01-12en_UK
rioxxterms.apcnot requireden_UK
rioxxterms.typeJournal Article/Reviewen_UK
rioxxterms.versionAMen_UK
local.rioxx.authorMacpherson, Morag|0000-0002-0467-8105en_UK
local.rioxx.authorDavidson, Ross S|en_UK
local.rioxx.authorDuncan, Dugald B|en_UK
local.rioxx.authorLurz, Peter W|en_UK
local.rioxx.authorJarrott, Andrew|en_UK
local.rioxx.authorWhite, Andrew|en_UK
local.rioxx.projectInternal Project|University of Stirling|https://isni.org/isni/0000000122484331en_UK
local.rioxx.freetoreaddate2018-01-12en_UK
local.rioxx.licencehttp://www.rioxx.net/licenses/all-rights-reserved|2018-01-12|en_UK
local.rioxx.filename8977986.pdfen_UK
local.rioxx.filecount1en_UK
local.rioxx.source1367-9430en_UK
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