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Appears in Collections:Law and Philosophy Journal Articles
Peer Review Status: Refereed
Title: Lottery Judgments: a philosophical and experimental study (Forthcoming)
Authors: Ebert, Philip
Smith, Martin
Durbach, Ian
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Keywords: Knowledge
justified belief
lottery proposition
statistical evidence
testimonial evidence
behavioral decision-making
Citation: Ebert P, Smith M & Durbach I (2017) Lottery Judgments: a philosophical and experimental study (Forthcoming), Philosophical Psychology.
Abstract: In this paper, we present the results of two surveys that investigate subjects’ judgments about what can be known or justifiably believed about lottery out- comes on the basis of statistical evidence, testimonial evidence, and ‘mixed’ evidence, while considering possible anchoring and priming effects. We dis- cuss these results in light of seven distinct hypotheses that capture various claims made by philosophers about lay people’s lottery judgments. We con- clude by summarizing the main findings, pointing to future research, and comparing our findings to recent studies by Turri and Friedman (2014) and Friedman and Turri (2015).
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