http://hdl.handle.net/1893/25029
Appears in Collections: | Economics Journal Articles |
Peer Review Status: | Refereed |
Title: | Nonlinear predictability of short-run deviations in UK stock market returns |
Author(s): | McMillan, David |
Contact Email: | david.mcmillan@stir.ac.uk |
Keywords: | Stock market returns exponential smooth transition threshold model error-correction |
Issue Date: | Aug-2004 |
Date Deposited: | 27-Feb-2017 |
Citation: | McMillan D (2004) Nonlinear predictability of short-run deviations in UK stock market returns. Economics Letters, 84 (2), pp. 149-154. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2003.10.014 |
Abstract: | Using an exponential smooth transition threshold (ESTR) error-correction model, we examine whether return dynamics in a price dividend cointegration framework differ between large and small deviations. Results support the ESTR model over a linear alternative and suggest persistent deviations from equilibrium when deviations are large. |
DOI Link: | 10.1016/j.econlet.2003.10.014 |
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