|Appears in Collections:||Accounting and Finance Journal Articles|
|Peer Review Status:||Refereed|
|Title:||The forecasting accuracy of implied volatility from ECX carbon options|
EU Emissions Trading Scheme
|Citation:||Viteva S, Veld-Merkoulova Y & Campbell K (2014) The forecasting accuracy of implied volatility from ECX carbon options, Energy Economics, 45, pp. 475-484.|
|Abstract:||This study analyzes the forecasting accuracy of the implied volatility of options on futures contracts for the delivery of CO2emission allowances (carbon options) traded on the European Climate Exchange. We demonstrate that option implied volatility is highly informative about the variance of returns realized over the remaining life of the options. It is also directionally accurate in predicting future volatility changes. However, we also find that implied volatility of carbon options is biased, especially for periods of time which do not coincide with the remaining life of the option. This suggests that the market has yet to fully mature.|
|Rights:||The publisher does not allow this work to be made publicly available in this Repository. Please use the Request a Copy feature at the foot of the Repository record to request a copy directly from the author. You can only request a copy if you wish to use this work for your own research or private study.|
|Affiliation:||Baillie Gifford and Co Edinburgh|
Accounting and Finance
|Viteva et al_Energy Economics_2014.pdf||481.69 kB||Adobe PDF||Under Embargo until 31/12/2999 Request a copy|
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