Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/1893/20492
Appears in Collections:Faculty of Health Sciences and Sport Journal Articles
Peer Review Status: Unrefereed
Title: How to predict the 2014 World Cup winner (in one simple equation): determinants of national football team results 2011-2013 - a new methodology
Authors: Scelles, Nicolas
Andreff, Wladimir
Contact Email: nicolas.scelles@stir.ac.uk
Issue Date: 18-Jun-2014
Publisher: Fraser of Allander Institute
Citation: Scelles N & Andreff W (2014) How to predict the 2014 World Cup winner (in one simple equation): determinants of national football team results 2011-2013 - a new methodology, Fraser of Allander Institute Economic Commentary, 38 (1), pp. 100-103.
Abstract: This short note sets out an approach to predicting national football team results using a new, hybrid economics-based methodology. It draws on previous work in the field and was tested on almost 3,000 international football matches over the period 2011- 2013. The same methodology can be used in a predicative way and could be used, for example, to predict the result of the 2014 World Cup in Brazil. A forthcoming article to be published by the Fraser Economic Commentary will seek to predict Scotland's likely progress in the forthcoming Euro 2016 competition.
Type: Journal Article
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/1893/20492
URL: http://www.strath.ac.uk/media/departments/economics/fairse/2014-06/How_to_predict_the_2014_World_Cup_winner.pdf
Rights: The publisher has granted permission for use of this work in this Repository. Published in Fraser of Allander Institute Economic Commentary.
Affiliation: Sport
University of Paris 1 (Pantheon-Sorbonne University)

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