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http://hdl.handle.net/1893/20492| Appears in Collections: | Faculty of Health Sciences and Sport Journal Articles |
| Peer Review Status: | Unrefereed |
| Title: | How to predict the 2014 World Cup winner (in one simple equation): determinants of national football team results 2011-2013 - a new methodology |
| Author(s): | Scelles, Nicolas Andreff, Wladimir |
| Contact Email: | nicolas.scelles@stir.ac.uk |
| Issue Date: | 18-Jun-2014 |
| Date Deposited: | 19-Jun-2014 |
| Citation: | Scelles N & Andreff W (2014) How to predict the 2014 World Cup winner (in one simple equation): determinants of national football team results 2011-2013 - a new methodology. Fraser of Allander Institute Economic Commentary, 38 (1), pp. 100-103. https://www.strath.ac.uk/media/departments/economics/fairse/backissues/Fraser_Economic_Commentary,_Vol_38_No_1.pdf |
| Abstract: | This short note sets out an approach to predicting national football team results using a new, hybrid economics-based methodology. It draws on previous work in the field and was tested on almost 3,000 international football matches over the period 2011- 2013. The same methodology can be used in a predicative way and could be used, for example, to predict the result of the 2014 World Cup in Brazil. A forthcoming article to be published by the Fraser Economic Commentary will seek to predict Scotland's likely progress in the forthcoming Euro 2016 competition. |
| URL: | https://www.strath.ac.uk/media/departments/economics/fairse/backissues/Fraser_Economic_Commentary,_Vol_38_No_1.pdf |
| Rights: | The publisher has granted permission for use of this work in this Repository. Published in Fraser of Allander Institute Economic Commentary. |
Files in This Item:
| File | Description | Size | Format | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| How_to_predict_the_2014_World_Cup_winner.pdf | Fulltext - Published Version | 110.73 kB | Adobe PDF | View/Open |
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