|Appears in Collections:||Faculty of Health Sciences and Sport Journal Articles|
|Peer Review Status:||Unrefereed|
|Title:||How to predict the 2014 World Cup winner (in one simple equation): determinants of national football team results 2011-2013 - a new methodology|
|Publisher:||Fraser of Allander Institute|
|Citation:||Scelles N & Andreff W (2014) How to predict the 2014 World Cup winner (in one simple equation): determinants of national football team results 2011-2013 - a new methodology, Fraser of Allander Institute Economic Commentary, 38 (1), pp. 100-103.|
|Abstract:||This short note sets out an approach to predicting national football team results using a new, hybrid economics-based methodology. It draws on previous work in the field and was tested on almost 3,000 international football matches over the period 2011- 2013. The same methodology can be used in a predicative way and could be used, for example, to predict the result of the 2014 World Cup in Brazil. A forthcoming article to be published by the Fraser Economic Commentary will seek to predict Scotland's likely progress in the forthcoming Euro 2016 competition.|
|Rights:||The publisher has granted permission for use of this work in this Repository. Published in Fraser of Allander Institute Economic Commentary.|
University of Paris 1 (Pantheon-Sorbonne University)
|How_to_predict_the_2014_World_Cup_winner.pdf||110.73 kB||Adobe PDF||View/Open|
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